Uncharted
Margaret HeffernanНаскільки Вам сподобалась ця книга?
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[...]
Our expectations are wrong. The future isn’t perfectly knowable and never
has been. Our brains may be the single most complex object in the known
universe, but they still make mistakes. Today’s technology may be the most
advanced the world has ever seen, but it too is imperfect: incomplete, biased
and full of error. Google isn’t always right. Maps steer us to the wrong place and
unpredictable accidents make us late. Artificial intelligence trusts correlations
that turn out to be irrelevant, selective or ill-informed. DNA knows nothing
about broken legs or toxic pollution.[...]It makes sense to imagine that that progress is infinitely sustainable, but it
isn’t. Along the way, fundamental change has occurred. We have moved from a
complicated world to a complex one. The two aren’t the same – and complexity
isn’t just complicated on steroids. Complicated environments are linear, follow
rules and are predictable; like an assembly line, they can be planned, managed,
repeated and controlled. They’re maximised by routine and efficiency. But the
advent of globalisation, coupled with pervasive communications, has made
much of life complex: non-linear and fluid, where very small effects may
produce disproportionate impacts.
[...]Anyone who tries to tell us they know the future is simply trying to own it: a
spurious claim to manifest destiny. The harder, more subtle truth is that the
future is uncharted because we aren’t there yet. So this book can’t provide a
map, a recipe, an app or any perfect certainty about destination or time of
arrival. What it will do is provide the questions to lead you in the direction you
choose. Many of the most inspiring people start in a place of uncertainty, are
filled with doubt, yet arrive triumphant at places in life they could not see when
they set out. Their successes are deeply human, derived from curiosity,
imagination and not a little bravery. These individuals were prepared to
navigate the unknown in pursuit of the ill-defined because they realised that…
Our expectations are wrong. The future isn’t perfectly knowable and never
has been. Our brains may be the single most complex object in the known
universe, but they still make mistakes. Today’s technology may be the most
advanced the world has ever seen, but it too is imperfect: incomplete, biased
and full of error. Google isn’t always right. Maps steer us to the wrong place and
unpredictable accidents make us late. Artificial intelligence trusts correlations
that turn out to be irrelevant, selective or ill-informed. DNA knows nothing
about broken legs or toxic pollution.[...]It makes sense to imagine that that progress is infinitely sustainable, but it
isn’t. Along the way, fundamental change has occurred. We have moved from a
complicated world to a complex one. The two aren’t the same – and complexity
isn’t just complicated on steroids. Complicated environments are linear, follow
rules and are predictable; like an assembly line, they can be planned, managed,
repeated and controlled. They’re maximised by routine and efficiency. But the
advent of globalisation, coupled with pervasive communications, has made
much of life complex: non-linear and fluid, where very small effects may
produce disproportionate impacts.
[...]Anyone who tries to tell us they know the future is simply trying to own it: a
spurious claim to manifest destiny. The harder, more subtle truth is that the
future is uncharted because we aren’t there yet. So this book can’t provide a
map, a recipe, an app or any perfect certainty about destination or time of
arrival. What it will do is provide the questions to lead you in the direction you
choose. Many of the most inspiring people start in a place of uncertainty, are
filled with doubt, yet arrive triumphant at places in life they could not see when
they set out. Their successes are deeply human, derived from curiosity,
imagination and not a little bravery. These individuals were prepared to
navigate the unknown in pursuit of the ill-defined because they realised that…
Рік:
2020
Видавництво:
Simon And Schuster
Мова:
english
Сторінки:
400
ISBN 10:
147117980X
ISBN 13:
9781471179808
Файл:
EPUB, 1.21 MB
Ваші теги:
IPFS:
CID , CID Blake2b
english, 2020
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